Substantial rainmaker close to Nicaragua
Thursday 27th October 2016
Disturbance forty eight is still parked close to the coast of Nicaragua. This has become a substantial rainmaker causing enhanced shower and thunderstorm activity across Central America and the islands in the western Caribbean. This is still expected to drift ashore without developing. Another almost stationary disturbance, forty nine, is now a broad trough centred around two days east of the north-easternmost Windward Islands and starting to drift toward the north-nor'west. The chances of development remain unchanged (consensus seems to be around 1 in 5). Irrespective of development this will remain at sea.
Disturbance forty five is centred about two days west of the Cape Verde Islands and moving slowly towards the northwest. The chances for development have decreased and in any event it will also remain at sea.