Hurricane OTTO almost ashore in Nicaragua

Thursday 24th November 2016

Another intrepid aviator has buzzed category 2 hurricane OTTO and confirmed a well-formed eye wall with winds of almost 100 knots. The centre is now about 60 miles east of the coast of Nicaragua and thrashing west at 12 knots. Simple maths - ETA landfall 5 hours. No further strengthening is expected so OTTO is at its peak intensity rating of 13 out of a possible 50 points (4 for size and 9 for intensity) making landfall with the whole nine yards, a tad north of the Costa Rican border. It should be noted that this is a tiny, albeit vicious little bruiser and systems of this size can develop or degrade in intensity very rapidly. There is a suspicion that OTTO could weaken to a tropical storm before landfall. That would be of some comfort to the good folk of coastal Nicaragua who will in any event experience heavy squalls resulting in widespread flooding and mudslides. After landfall, OTTO will cross southern Nicaragua and emerge into the East Pacific as a tropical storm tonight. Off my watch then.

The determined observer who even at this eleventh hour, has OTTO turning about and headed east clearly doesn't have both oars in the water.

Stand by eastern Nicaragua.

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