Tropical storm EMILY close to Florida

Monday 31st July 2017

The cold front we referred to previously has done what cold front often do at this time of year, and sprung a low pressure cell in its wake. This was identified as Disturbance Twenty Four last night and was then briefly upgraded to Tropical Depression Six before hitting the highlights as Tropical Storm EMILY. Currently centred about 50 miles west of Tampa, EMILY is not particularly strong. This is moving east at 6 knots with maximum sustained winds of 35 knots. This will track slowly over Florida today then into the Atlantic where wind shear awaits. At the moment, the main threat is from heavy rainfall and tropical storm force winds across central and southern Florida.

Useless Disturbance Twenty Two is now about 1350 miles east of the Leeward Islands headed west at 18 knots. At worst, this will bring enhanced shower and thunderstorm activity across the eastern Caribbean late this week.

Disturbance Twenty Three is 374 miles south west of the Cape Verde Islands, westbound as 13 knots. Thunderstorms have decreased with this disturbance over the past 24 hours although some modellers indicate development with this disturbance this week. Not convinced, personally.

Raincoats in Florida otherwise stand easy.

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