HARVEY expected to reach hurricane intensity at landfall

Wednesday 23rd August 2017

HARVEY is seaborne in the southern Gulf of Mexico and strengthening. Currently 500 miles southeast of Corpus Christi and headed north west at 5 knots, there are no meteorological obstacles now to prevent this developing into a lusty tropical storm or cat 1 hurricane at landfall on Friday evening. Present pointers would indicate Corpus Christi or slightly north. The predicted hurricane severity rating at landfall is 9 out of a possible 50 points (3 size, 6 intensity) and unless HARVEY gets a move on, maybe more as the system is thriving on the warm waters of the Gulf.

Disturbance Thirty One is still loafing about along the east coast of Florida making rain and thunderstorms across the area. This will start to head north east in the next few days and may strengthen but only offshore.

Disturbance Thirty Four is two days west of the Cape Verde islands moving west at 12 knots. Dry air is killing development prospects.
Disturbance Thirty Five is emerging from the African coast, westbound at 10 knots. Dry air and wind shear await.

Storm cones aloft Corpus Christi.