Western Caribbean development chatter on the wires

Sunday 1st October 2017

Apologies to those of you who did not receive yesterday's report - we had several attempts but only limited success however the full report did - as ever - appear on our website www.Watkins-Marine.com and on Twitter @watkinsmarine. We never had these problems with semaphore.

Modellers are monitoring the western Caribbean for possible development. An area of low pressure is expected late this week and conditions are reasonably favourable for development with an eye on the Gulf of Mexico. Please remember this is still theory. I am pleased to say that I never had the difficult task of explaining to a charterer or a fleet manager why I deviated to avoid a theory.

Disturbance Forty Three is moving into northeast Florida now with gusty winds and some heavy rain. This is westbound now and will cross northern Florida today before entering the Gulf of Mexico where wind shear and an uninspiring future await.

Disturbance Forty Four is now 200 miles east-nor'east of Puerto Rico headed west-nor'west at 12 knots. Conditions are not particularly positive for development and frontal activity should see this off in a couple of days.

Disturbances Forty Five and Forty Six in the eastern Atlantic are both battling sand and unlikely to develop in the short term. Both are westbound and looking to pass north of the Caribbean if they survive the crossing.

Stand easy.

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