Disturbance Fifty Five losing its development opportunity

Thursday 26th October 2017

Disturbance Fifty Five is still close to the northeastern coast of Nicaragua and has barely moved over the past 24 hours. A strong cold front has kept this in place but this will weaken soon and allow the disturbance to move to the northwest over the next 24 hours into the western Caribbean when environmental conditions will allow this to become a tropical depression as it passes south of the Yucatan channel towards western Cuba.

At this time, conditions may this allow to deepen and become a tropical storm, albeit short lived as another front approaches. This front will ultimately steer the system across western Cuba and towards southern Florida, but weakening the system at the same time. Regardless of development, it is expected to be more of a rainmaker than a windmaker across Central America, Cayman Islands, eastern Yucatan Peninsula, western Cuba, South Florida, and the northwestern Bahamas during the next few days.

Disturbance Fifty Six is located over the south eastern Caribbean moving west at 12 knots. This is not expected to develop but is producing disorganised showers and thunderstorms which will continue to dump rain across the Windward and Leeward Islands, and thereafter the Netherlands Antilles over the next couple of days.

Stand easy.