Fishstorm MELISSA at sea

Saturday 11th October

Subtropical fishstorm MELISSA is now centred 280 miles south-sou'east of Nantucket headed safely east. This is moving slowly, which may allow some further intensification beyond its current 50 knot winds, but aside from some high tides in its wake along the north-eastern seaboard, won't be of interest to anyone ashore.

The long-expected disturbance in the western Caribbean is forming now, fairly close to the coast of Nicaragua. This will track towards the west-nor'west over the next few days towards the Bay of Campeche causing, at the very least, significant rainfall and heavy thunderstorms along its path.

Disturbance Fifty is now around 900 miles north-east of the mouth of the Amazon moving west at 18 knots. This has not really developed significantly, with only a slight chance of producing anything meaningful.

A mucky day in the north-east Atlantic otherwise stand easy.