Weather watch needed for western Caribbean later this week

Monday 28th September 2020

From west to east:

New Disturbance Fifty One has formed in a trough over the eastern Caribbean extending diagonally from Puerto Rico to Lake Maracaibo, headed west at 10 knots. When this reaches the far west later in the week, steering currents have the potential to stall its progress over warm water, which is never good news at this time of year. Should this occur, there is no firm view at this stage of intensity or track, but will need watching.

Disturbance Fifty is around 1,200 miles due north of the mouth of the Amazon moving west-nor'west at 18 knots. Aerial imagery is indicating some thunderstorm activity but there is still little sign of surface organisation. As expected, this looks to be curving away early and ls likely to head safely into the western Atlantic without bothering anyone particularly.

Stand easy. 

Image courtesy United Artists

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