Clouds gathering in the north west Caribbean

General outlook 1400z 13th June 2013

Disturbance five is ashore in Panama. Off radar. 

Aerial imagery of the western Atlantic shows disturbance six has developed some quite decent violent thunderstorms as it approaches the coast of northern South America and the southern Windward Islands, but as this interacts with the continental land mass, it will lose energy and is not likely to develop.

All eyes are on the western Caribbean and Bay of Campeche. Cloud systems are today starting to support the modellers who have been talking up a disturbance in the north-western Caribbean early next week and are now even predicting - note I avoid the word ‘forecasting' - that a system (which does not yet exist) will make a landfall to the south of Brownsville. Maybe. Maybe not.

Stand easy