Disturbance One shuffling towards Mexican coast - development possible

General summary Friday 6th June 2014

Disturbance One is now centred 100 miles east of Veracruz, Mexico. This has hardly moved overnight but has freshened a little, although significant development is still being kept to heel by wind shear over the southern Gulf of Mexico. A slow amble to the west-nor'west should begin soon and the system is expected to make the coast of Mexico close to Tuxpan on Sunday. The main impact is expected to be heavy rainfall and flooding. Additional rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches are possible through the weekend from the western Yucatan through Veracruz, Tuxpan, and Mexico City. The rains could be heavy enough to cause some areas of flooding. There is no expected impact on the northern Gulf, even if as some forecasters are offering that this may become a weak cyclone.

Stand easy.