Tropical storm ARTHUR opens the 2014 season.

There is one solitary low pressure system of note across the entire region today. Disturbance Six became tropical depression one and is now tropical storm ARTHUR. Currently centred around 70 miles east-nor'east of Cape Canaveral and headed west-nor'west at walking pace, as it completes the loop it began as it formed. At the moment, most of the wind and rain is to the south, but this is likely to be spreading across central Florida now. Maximum speeds at the centre are around 45 knots.

ARTHUR will move a little closer to the coast today, before accelerating a little and turning to the north, then to the northeast, increasing distance from the eastern seaboard as it does so. Still upper air and warm sea water temperatures will provide fuel, strengthening the storm and widening the windfield. One or two forecasters are suggesting hurricane force winds at time. It will certainly be a decent blow albeit not prolonged. Peak strength is likely to be as ARTHUR passes the Outer banks of North Carolina, where maximum impact ashore will be felt. Having said that, this is likely to be at a appreciable distance thus reduced in intensity. Thereafter this should pass peak strength and make is way north to the Canadian Atlantic coast as a bit of a nuisance but not much more.

Strom cones aloft over the Carolinas then, otherwise stand easy.