JOAQUIN weak and headed for Spain & Portugal

General overview 8th October 2015

JOAQUIN has withered considerably and is now an extratropical low-pressure system that is moving quickly east across the Atlantic with a final destination in the region of the Iberian peninsula, where it will bring rain and gusty winds tomorrow and over the weekend as the system approaches from the west.

Aerial images of disturbance fifty show a curtain of cloud that runs north to south along the line of the Windward and Leeward Islands where the disturbance hits the wall of upper level shear. The disturbance itself lies towards the north of this wall and is moving to the west-nor'west at 12 knots. The system is expected to remain weak as it moves to the north west over the next few days before disappearing altogether over the weekend.

There is a whiff of desperation amongst the more passionate storm enthusiasts. Some are watching some very weak systems threatening to launch from the African coast over the next week or two. Development from any of these systems is most unlikely. Those who were rubbing their thighs with glee at the highly speculative idea of a system developing in the far south west Caribbean seem a little quieter today. Let's hope it stays that way.

Stand easy.